What Happens If Russia Wins The Special Military Operation In Ukraine?

By Matthew Clark

As Russian Military Forces continue to advance into Ukraine, while Ukraine armed forces become more ineffective against their fellow slavic foes, the prospect of a Moscow victory appears more likely. Given their daily advances, combined with Ukrainian unsustainable casualties, it is quite conceivable that the Russian army will reach the Dneiper River sometime in the fall! Considering that Ukrainian responses are limited to the attempted demolition of bridges within the Crimea, or drone attacks on remote Siberian airfields, the meaningful martial triumphs are definitely on the Russian side. Ukrainian fighting actions have resulted in major news stories throughout the Western legacy media, yet they do nothing to alter the situation on the battlefield(s) within Ukraine. Three years after the Special Military Operation began Russian forces are clearly in a dominant position vis-a-vis Ukrainian armed personnel.

If you doubt this pay attention to the findings of senior armed forces officers from NATO nations.

"Senior officers from 20 (NATO) countries met at the British Royal Institute for Defense Studies to discuss army corp formations. Why?"

"The Russian army seems almost unrecognizable today from what they were 3 years ago! Sources from NATO admit that Russian troops are currently outnumbering western ones in a number of criteria. These include:

1) Number of engaged troops now twice as high as at beginning of Special Military Operation (February 2022)

2)Russian arms and arms production has skyrocketed.

3)Russians have developed effective neutralisation methods against Western systems such as HIMARS

4) Russian use of drones and electronic warfare systems set new standards and analysts believe Russia is ahead of NATO in these segments.

5) Russian drones are more numerous, cheaper, and better adapted to battlefield conditions.

6) Russian infrastructure for the production of drones seems almost inexhaustable.

7) Russian development of precise missile systems is impressive. The Iskander (missile) is becoming increasingly difficult to shoot down, even when Patriot missiles are used.

8) Russians are effective at targeting command centres and launch systems.

9) Russians are far superior to Western forces in their willingness to persevere despite heavy losses.

10) Russians accept risk much better than western forces.

11) NATO forces for the rapid deployment of forces to the eastern border remains unreliable

12) U.S. 18th Airborne Corps, 82nd and 101st divisions express uncertainty in how to operate in theatres with drones

13) British Allied Rapid Reaction Corp will not reach combat readiness well into next year (2026)

14) In an open conflict the entire NATO infrastructure, ports, railways, warehouses, will be open to attack.

15) There are no longer safe supply routes for peaceful countries.

(HAL TURNER May 31, 2025)

These findings came from senior NATO officers who have clearly stated Russian personnel is outperforming Western (Ukraine and NATO volunteers) armed units in the Special Military Operation. Given the fact that Moscow's manufacturing sector is also surpassing Ukraine and NATO nations, it appears time is on the side of Russia.

Therefore what could occur if President Putin's military does indeed triumph over Mr. Zelensky's fighters?

According to the European Council on Foreign Relations, one of Europe's foremost foreign policy analyst organizations, a Russian victory would result in the following consequences. Ukraine will be depopulated, divided, and demoralized. Money will not flow in to reconstruct the nation. Ukraine politics will become rancorous, with a strong anti-western bent. E.U. and NATO membership will not occur for the nation. Political destabalisation will be the norm. Tensions between European governments and Russian administrations will rise. Victory for Russia in Ukraine could very well end up encouraging Communist China to step up pressure on Taiwan. (European Council on Foreign Relations January 2, 2025)

An observation not pronounced by the European Council yet one that is plainly evident is that a victory for President Putin will make Europe's demise even more evident than it already is! That Europe could be so powerless to thwart the efforts of Russia to subjugate her neighbour is startling. Weakness breeds disrespect among all governments in the practice of geopolitics. European nations will have to face constant existential challenges as a result of their weakness!

As European feebleness becomes more overt governments such as Canada's present administration under Central Banker Mark Carney, will almost certainly abandon plans to forge a close military/diplomatic alliance with the old world. Rather Canada, along with similar situated nations (Australia, New Zealand etc.) will be pulled even deeper into the United States Defense Orbit. Only America among western jurisdictions, has the teeth to stand up to the expanding strenght of the emerging nations. Canadians will not be pleased at the prospect of continuing their status as a satellite of the United States. They would be even more displeased however, at being a fatted calf for other more predatory interests!

A further reprecussion from a Russian triumph in Ukraine could be increased political strife in Africa, particularly Francophone Africa. French interests have taken a beating in her former colonies over the last couple of years. Mercenary Russian units (Wagner) have had a hand in shaping these events. This could well increase if the west suffers a defeat in Ukraine. Opponents of the western order well might want to strike at an adversary who appears to be back on their heels.

Moscows prevailing in the Special Military Operation has the potential to spark further election(s) of populist politicians throughout Europe, as well as the Western Hemisphere. Populism in Europe and the America's is on the rise. Clearly many citizens in the western nations are rejecting the Liberal World Order because they perceive it to be impeding the function(s) of everyday life. Substantial military defeat would increase that perception.

In 2008 NATO government politicians decided to expand the alliance into the two nations of Ukraine and Georgia. These countries were of little interest to the NATO members but were of major interest to the nation of Russia. Seventeen years later the chickens are coming home to roost as a result of that decision. It is a decision which, as a result of Russian conquest, threatens to have world wide effects.

References:

NATO Meeting Quietly Admits: NATO is Losing to Russia in Ukraine

Hal Turner May 31, 2025

Hal Turner Radio Show

halturnerradioshow.com

European Council On Foreign Relations

What If Russia Wins In Ukraine? We Can Already See the Shadows of a Dark 2025

by Timothy Garton Ash

January 2nd, 2025

ectu.eu